UK GDP rises slightly in Quarter 4 of 2020 showing positive signs of economic growth according to the ONS UK (Office of National Statistics). This is despite a huge drop in GDP since the start of the covid 19 pandemic, cornavirus lockdowns and Brexit.
The ONS reported a rise of 0.97% from 498,000,000 Quarter 3 to 504,000,000 in Quarter 4 after massive 20% drop from 529,000,000 to 426,000,000 in Quarter 1 to Quarter 2 in 2020.
Why is GDP important and why does mainstream media not report it? - Well the short answer is they are journalists not economists so they dont understand it as well as what a certain celebrity is wearing to the oscars etc. And the its easier to focus on nonsense that sells than statistics and fact that fly over the head of most readers. But business owners and directors and CEO's need to know what is happening to be able to plan and steer their businesses successfully through the current turbulent times.
Importantly, quarter 1 2021 figures (ie January to March 2021) are yet to compiled these undoubtedly show a truer picture of the economy in its most recent state especially after Brexit on the 1st of January with their backlogs at the ports and problems with shipping in and out of Europe.
British politicians were quick to report the 0.97% increase (without stating the figures, obviously) and say that their goverment support policies were helping but this hardly cover the 20% drop previosuly and what Quarter 1 GDP 2021 will show. Certainly there was pent up sales demand due to the lockdown and as soon as the lockdown was eased, UK shoppers returned in their droves to high street stores, pubs and gyms. But with the looming end of government furlough support in September 2021 the number of unemployed is likely to jump up again denting GDP towards the middle to end of 2021.
Nonetheless all things considered this is positive sign that the UK may have bypassed a recession and having a complete wash out for 2021 like for 2020.
By Anni Khan at Tax Affinity Accountants
Tax Affinity Accountants are experts Business, Tax and Accountancy. With branches in Worcester Park and Kingston upon Thames and Epsom and Ewell they are considered in the Industry to be expert business accountants and tax advisors for both individuals and small & medium sized businesses (SME's). Helping and supporting both individuals and limited company owners / self employed people throughout the UK and the world, they regularly help clients grow their business providing tailored advice and support. Their support has been considered invaluable by many clients and key to their success.
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